Duterte will not be pink for the next six years

AFter the FFirst round of elections on 10 April, followed by Rano on 24 AprilFf, France has re-elected Emanuel Macron as President for another fiVe year against Marine Le Pen, 51.5% versus 58.54%. But from all indications, those numbers are unclear because the French media reported that Macron firm support could not have been more than 28%, representing those who voted for him during Runoff. The rest were “those who want to build a dam” without supporting him against the far-right Le Pen. On the other hand, 42% of those who chose Le Pen wrote his name on the ballot because they wanted to express “anger and resentment” against the Macron government, which they failed to do.

More interestingly, Le Pen lost the election because many of those who avoided him were not exactly Macron supporters, but he was unacceptable to many French people because of his father, “an unorganized far-right man.” His poor executive experience has also cut his vote.

Macron should not be too excited to celebrate his victory. He would claim the crown when 28% of voters actually abstained, the highest number in 50 years. About 8.6% of those who voted either cast blank ballots or lost their papers. One in four French voters abstained. Macron will also be challenged to establish a majority in parliament, with widespread threats from left-wing presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon. fiA strong third nished during the preliminary round. If Macron is serious about his legislative agenda, forming a rainbow alliance is inevitable. In France it is called intercourse.

And Macron’s list of legislation is long and difficult French Parliament.

He will fill his hand with pension reform that could split. In France, the so-called “yellow vest” movement could emerge on the issue of inflation. He must pledge his campaign to revise France’s climate policy, which includes green change and implementation, from energy conservation to air pollution and tree planting. Major EU reforms are also on Macron’s agenda, as he will need enough expertise to manage France through the Ukraine-Russia war.

We do not see electoral ambiguity in the Philippines on 9 May.

The polarization of politics that is emerging in the color-coded political camp of Vice-President Lenny Robredo and former Senator Bambang Marcos. If there was a runoff (if the Philippine constitution allowed it), it would have been between the two of them who could have garnered the most votes. This is not going to be a three or 10-way competition. If we were on French soil the other presidential candidates would have failed to win enough votes to join the final showdown. The results of their small survey seem to confirm this weak ability to motivate the vote; Their assemblies are rare and there is little fuss to create momentum. Unlike Marcos Jr., however, he did not lack the courage to stand for hours and debate in public with full respect for the electorate and our democratic process.

But there could be some potential problems.

Unlike in France, the next leaders of the Philippines can be selected based on “soft information” created by paying trolls and bloggers instead of hard information, if you will. The truth seems to be underestimated in this country that people of almost all income classes will actually rely on ticks and tweets rather than studying problems and forming their own judgments. With unprecedented resources behind him, Marcos Jr. has been in the game for the last six years when he protested his loss to VP Lenny in 2016.

In a recent interview, he reiterated his reservation fiThe null decision of the Presidential Electoral Tribunal to declare Mrs. Robredo as the duly elected Vice-President. Yet, he was the one who claimed he had been deceived, he was the one who chose the particular oneFIC provinces to recount, and he was the one who saw VP Lenny’s 200,000-vote margin increase to about 15,000. Marcos Jr. should be advised that he is questioning the integrity of the same organization that will decide on any dispute that may occur on May 9.

Some NGOs have taken reasons to verify the content of these social media uploads. During this time, more and more people have learned about Marcos Jr.’s academic credentials, his public service record, Marcos Sr.’s public treasury looting and human rights abuses, as well as the truth behind Marcos Jr. S convicted for tax evasion. It is a question of time before the Filipino people succeed in reversing the tide of misleading propaganda like the Goebbels. But for many uncertain Filipinos, six years of repetition has made these lies ingrained in people’s minds.

Umberto Eco’s book On literature Arguing that while truth is strong, “experience teaches us that truth often takes a long time to conquer and it takes blood and tears to accept it.”

What can accelerate the emergence of truth?

One is that those who support the truth understand that the results of the survey may not be final. It is true that many commentators have expressed their thoughts on the huge challenge of consolidating VP Lenny’s motion and turning it into a real vote. Marcos Jr. continues to favor the results of the latest available survey although he lost momentum and VP Lenny gained it by a large margin. On the other hand, Macron and Le Pen scored 57% and 43%, respectively, in an analysis using Google Trends and applying it to the French selection. The actual results on April 24? Macron received 58.5% of the vote and Le Pen received 41.5%.

So far in the week ending April 18, VP Lenny has achieved 54% of all Google searches Marcos Jr. is less than half at 21%, seems to have the Pink.

Of course, neither the survey results nor Google Trends will win the election. The vote will not be held on May 9.

There is something in VP Lenny’s campaign that is markedly missing from Marcos Jr. It’s momentum. This kind of momentum is coming from VP Lenny himself by inspiring people to think outside of this generation and inspiring people ready to volunteer. They spend their own money and do everything that will help their candidate and his entire ticket. “We don’t get paid”(We are not paid) VP Leni had a unique mantra for the crowd, tens of thousands and thousands in each major city and province. The snowfall continues today.

Beyond the widespread support of star entertainers, VP Lenny’s campaigns are speeches with political and economic content. He tooffAgenda for governance, rule of law and justice, public health management, economic growth and jobs and regional integrity.

Not surprisingly, the business community is feeling more comfortable with his candidacy; He has a clean-cut platform of government. No need to speculate because he is always involved in public debate. No sign of corruption could be cast on him or his family. She is not a product of social media. He’s a real person who feels tired – he takes off his high-heeled shoes when his feet tell him to. He has no hesitation in taking public transport. He liked to serve even before he came into politics.

Both leading candidates should realize that the next six years in Duterte (AD) will be more difficult than taking office in 2016. Not pink, but we can see more thorns. The world is just recovering from a two-year pandemic lockdown and another threat lies ahead. Russia has changed the equation in the petroleum and grain industries. Therefore, it is difficult to implement the regime to achieve economic recovery and provide jobs to our people.

It is important that we also remember the bias of availability. When we navigate, we prefer the wrong map over any other. He is the beauty of VP Lenny’s candidacyffEring a map, and it’s the right one.

Diwa c. Guinigundo is the former deputy governor of the finance and economics sector of the Bangkok Central NGO Pilipinus (BSP). He has served the BSP for 41 years. From 2001-2003, he was the alternate executive director of the International Monetary Fund in Washington, DC. He is a senior pastor at the Perfection of Christ International Ministries in Mandaluyong.